The Impact of the Election and Olympics on Advertising in 2012
Being an election year, 2012 is projected to be a record year for revenue for broadcasters. Some conservative estimates project spending to reach $2.5 billion — a 40% increase over the last Presidential election. In addition, advertising spending for the Olympics this year is projected to reach $642 million, which is an increase of 7% over the 2008 Olympics. So what does this mean to us as advertisers?
During this timeframe it means it will be harder to get the attention of our potential customers. Because candidates are, by law, given the lowest unit ad rate, this drives up the rates for other advertisers. Politicians take up a great deal of inventory, which results in higher demand for the advertising time that is left. Stations are also far less likely to negotiate for lower rates when a good deal of their inventory is being sold at the lowest unit rate.
While the Olympics don’t usually pose as great a problem, it still does have an impact on rates and available local inventory. The network that carries the Olympics will reduce the local inventory they have available. National advertisers will buy more local spots to ensure they have greater coverage. Both of these factors drive up rates for local advertisers.
In 2008, local broadcast TV stations received the lion’s share of all political advertising with 62%, compared to 14.2% on local cable, 14% on radio, 5% on print, 2.4% on network TV, 1.4% on national cable and 1% on Internet.
Although we do not typically run in prime time for Senior Living, the spending is still pretty spread out across other dayparts and will impact any area of broadcast TV that we would use.
The political window for the general election which falls on Tuesday, November 6, 2012 — is 60 days prior to the election, leading up to election day. Because of this impact, we don’t generally recommend running television campaigns after August. It’s too difficult and expensive to compete, and dollars can be utilized more effectively elsewhere.
So what are some alternatives to TV? If television is a crucial part of your media mix, we would recommend considering cable, although typically other local advertisers will shift their dollars there as well. Radio can also be a viable alternative if awareness is an important goal, although it’s best to stay away from news/talk formats that political candidates favor. Print is still a very strong medium in an election year to reach seniors, and digital is still a very strong option to reach adult children.
Where are you planning to allocate your Q3 and Q4 advertising dollars in 2012?








